K. Kawa vs B. Bencic
Ningbo · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-22
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: B. Bencic · Confidence 6.0 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: K. Kawa 8.00 · B. Bencic 1.08
Finished · 7-5 6-2 · Prediction incorrect
Recorded before play: 2026-10-21T22:14:09.586Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured B. Bencic on weighted all-surface win rate: 62.5% versus 48.1% for K. Kawa. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: K. Kawa: 6; B. Bencic: 55 completed hard matches. Samples below 15 receive reduced surface influence.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 83% of the final strength calculation.
K. Kawa: 48% · B. Bencic: 62%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 10% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
K. Kawa: 49% · B. Bencic: 58%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 17% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
K. Kawa: 50% · B. Bencic: 52%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
Browse all published results →