S. Shimabukuro vs R. Safiullin
Almaty · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-20
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: R. Safiullin · Confidence 6.0 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: S. Shimabukuro 5.50 · R. Safiullin 1.14
Finished · 6-7 6-4 6-4 · Prediction incorrect
Recorded before play: 2026-10-18T17:08:52.555Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured R. Safiullin on weighted all-surface win rate: 48.2% versus 37.6% for S. Shimabukuro. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 2 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 76% of the final strength calculation.
S. Shimabukuro: 38% · R. Safiullin: 48%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 23% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
S. Shimabukuro: 29% · R. Safiullin: 49%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 24% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
S. Shimabukuro: 47% · R. Safiullin: 50%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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