D. Medvedev vs J-L. Struff
Shanghai · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-10
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: D. Medvedev · Confidence 6.5 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: D. Medvedev 1.14 · J-L. Struff 5.50
Finished · 4-6 6-4 6-3 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-08T18:18:01.814Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured D. Medvedev on weighted all-surface win rate: 66.6% versus 46.1% for J-L. Struff. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 6 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 71% of the final strength calculation.
D. Medvedev: 67% · J-L. Struff: 46%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 27% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
D. Medvedev: 68% · J-L. Struff: 43%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 29% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
D. Medvedev: 53% · J-L. Struff: 49%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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