M. Sakkari vs M. Kostyuk
Wuhan · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-13
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: M. Kostyuk · Confidence 6.1 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: M. Sakkari 2.75 · M. Kostyuk 1.44
Finished · 4-6 6-2 6-2 · Prediction incorrect
Recorded before play: 2026-10-12T13:00:16.911Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured M. Kostyuk on weighted all-surface win rate: 68.6% versus 48.5% for M. Sakkari. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 10 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 70% of the final strength calculation.
M. Sakkari: 48% · M. Kostyuk: 69%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 33% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
M. Sakkari: 51% · M. Kostyuk: 59%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 30% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
M. Sakkari: 50% · M. Kostyuk: 53%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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