L. Tagger vs V. Williams
Guangzhou · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-27
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: L. Tagger · Confidence 6.5 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: L. Tagger 1.05 · V. Williams 11.00
Finished · 6-2 6-2 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-25T10:52:15.171Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured L. Tagger on weighted all-surface win rate: 50.1% versus 30.4% for V. Williams. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: L. Tagger: 30; V. Williams: 16 completed matches. TennisDollar requires 5 and flags samples below 20 as limited.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 84% of the final strength calculation.
L. Tagger: 50% · V. Williams: 30%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 17% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
L. Tagger: 47% · V. Williams: 33%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 16% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
L. Tagger: 51% · V. Williams: 46%
Limited Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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