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COMPLETED MATCH · ORIGINAL PREDICTION

A. Zverev vs A. Bublik

Shanghai · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-13

Prediction and result

Predicted winner: A. Zverev · Confidence 6.0 / 10

Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: A. Zverev 1.28 · A. Bublik 3.75

Finished · 7-6(6) 4-6 7-6(1) · Prediction correct

Recorded before play: 2026-10-12T13:19:01.763Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.

What supported the original prediction?

The saved pre-match comparison favoured A. Zverev on weighted all-surface win rate: 73.7% versus 58.6% for A. Bublik. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.

Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 10 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.

This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.

Saved statistical comparisons

Weighted all-surface win rate

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 69% of the final strength calculation.

A. Zverev: 74% · A. Bublik: 59%

Hard-court weighted win rate

Surface results make up 33% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

A. Zverev: 68% · A. Bublik: 58%

Serve and return performance

Serve and return statistics account for 31% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

A. Zverev: 54% · A. Bublik: 51%

Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.

Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations

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