A. Sasnovich vs N. Bartunkova
Tokyo · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-26
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: N. Bartunkova · Confidence 6.2 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: A. Sasnovich 2.62 · N. Bartunkova 1.50
Finished · 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3 · Prediction incorrect
Recorded before play: 2026-10-25T13:20:02.783Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured N. Bartunkova on weighted all-surface win rate: 59.2% versus 43.1% for A. Sasnovich. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 2 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 78% of the final strength calculation.
A. Sasnovich: 43% · N. Bartunkova: 59%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 24% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
A. Sasnovich: 46% · N. Bartunkova: 61%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 22% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
A. Sasnovich: 50% · N. Bartunkova: 51%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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