J. Rodionov vs P. Herbert
Lyon (France) · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-18
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: J. Rodionov · Confidence 6.1 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: J. Rodionov 1.72 · P. Herbert 2.00
Finished · 7-6(5) 5-7 0-6 · Prediction incorrect
Recorded before play: 2026-10-18T08:50:22.162Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured J. Rodionov on weighted all-surface win rate: 53.5% versus 39.0% for P. Herbert. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: J. Rodionov: 15; P. Herbert: 16 completed matches. TennisDollar requires 5 and flags samples below 20 as limited.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 89% of the final strength calculation.
J. Rodionov: 54% · P. Herbert: 39%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 6% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
J. Rodionov: 49% · P. Herbert: 44%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 11% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
J. Rodionov: 50% · P. Herbert: 48%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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