S. Tsitsipas vs A. Kovacevic
Almaty · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-19
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: S. Tsitsipas · Confidence 6.2 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: S. Tsitsipas 1.30 · A. Kovacevic 3.64
Finished · 7-6 3-6 6-3 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-17T13:19:03.137Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured S. Tsitsipas on weighted all-surface win rate: 58.2% versus 39.0% for A. Kovacevic. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 11 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 72% of the final strength calculation.
S. Tsitsipas: 58% · A. Kovacevic: 39%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 34% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
S. Tsitsipas: 54% · A. Kovacevic: 42%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 28% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
S. Tsitsipas: 51% · A. Kovacevic: 48%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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