G. Mpetshi Perricard vs A. Fils
Basel · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-27
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: A. Fils · Confidence 6.8 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: G. Mpetshi Perricard 4.84 · A. Fils 1.10
Finished · 6-7(5) 5-7 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-25T23:22:03.011Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured A. Fils on weighted all-surface win rate: 65.7% versus 38.2% for G. Mpetshi Perricard. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
The saved indicators do not capture every influence on a match. The original confidence score is a model assessment, not a guarantee.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 74% of the final strength calculation.
G. Mpetshi Perricard: 38% · A. Fils: 66%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 27% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
G. Mpetshi Perricard: 40% · A. Fils: 63%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 26% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
G. Mpetshi Perricard: 48% · A. Fils: 52%
Complete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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