D. Medvedev vs D. Svrcina
Shanghai · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-12
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: D. Medvedev · Confidence 6.5 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: D. Medvedev 1.14 · D. Svrcina 5.50
Finished · 6-2 6-3 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-11T02:28:01.621Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured D. Medvedev on weighted all-surface win rate: 67.3% versus 47.6% for D. Svrcina. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 1 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 79% of the final strength calculation.
D. Medvedev: 67% · D. Svrcina: 48%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 23% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
D. Medvedev: 69% · D. Svrcina: 52%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 21% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
D. Medvedev: 53% · D. Svrcina: 50%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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