E. Rybakina vs K. Kawa
Ningbo · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-23
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: E. Rybakina · Confidence 7.0 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: E. Rybakina 1.05 · K. Kawa 11.00
Finished · 6-1 3-6 6-1 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-22T21:29:13.911Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured E. Rybakina on weighted all-surface win rate: 73.8% versus 48.1% for K. Kawa. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: E. Rybakina: 94; K. Kawa: 6 completed hard matches. Samples below 15 receive reduced surface influence.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 83% of the final strength calculation.
E. Rybakina: 74% · K. Kawa: 48%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 10% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
E. Rybakina: 76% · K. Kawa: 49%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 17% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
E. Rybakina: 53% · K. Kawa: 51%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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