K. Khachanov vs C. Alcaraz
Vienna · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-27
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: C. Alcaraz · Confidence 6.5 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: K. Khachanov 4.50 · C. Alcaraz 1.20
Finished · 4-6 6-7(5) · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-26T10:38:19.895Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured C. Alcaraz on weighted all-surface win rate: 76.8% versus 55.3% for K. Khachanov. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
The saved indicators do not capture every influence on a match. The original confidence score is a model assessment, not a guarantee.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 70% of the final strength calculation.
K. Khachanov: 55% · C. Alcaraz: 77%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 36% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
K. Khachanov: 55% · C. Alcaraz: 74%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 30% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
K. Khachanov: 52% · C. Alcaraz: 54%
Complete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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