A. Sabalenka vs A. Li
Wuhan · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-14
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: A. Sabalenka · Confidence 6.6 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: A. Sabalenka 1.12 · A. Li 6.00
Finished · 6-3 4-6 6-7(5) · Prediction incorrect
Recorded before play: 2026-10-13T13:00:18.873Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured A. Sabalenka on weighted all-surface win rate: 74.6% versus 52.4% for A. Li. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
The saved indicators do not capture every influence on a match. The original confidence score is a model assessment, not a guarantee.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 69% of the final strength calculation.
A. Sabalenka: 75% · A. Li: 52%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 36% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
A. Sabalenka: 75% · A. Li: 52%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 31% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
A. Sabalenka: 54% · A. Li: 51%
Complete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
Browse all published results →