T. A. Tirante vs F. Diaz Acosta
Almaty · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-19
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: T. A. Tirante · Confidence 6.3 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: T. A. Tirante 1.34 · F. Diaz Acosta 3.38
Finished · 7-6(3) 1-6 4-6 · Prediction incorrect
Recorded before play: 2026-10-17T13:18:19.276Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured T. A. Tirante on weighted all-surface win rate: 57.8% versus 40.7% for F. Diaz Acosta. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: T. A. Tirante: 50; F. Diaz Acosta: 15 completed matches. TennisDollar requires 5 and flags samples below 20 as limited.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 86% of the final strength calculation.
T. A. Tirante: 58% · F. Diaz Acosta: 41%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 7% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
T. A. Tirante: 54% · F. Diaz Acosta: 43%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 14% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
T. A. Tirante: 51% · F. Diaz Acosta: 49%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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