T. Paul vs D. Vallejo
Shanghai · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-10
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: T. Paul · Confidence 6.0 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: T. Paul 1.50 · D. Vallejo 2.62
Finished · 6-2 6-2 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-08T18:13:01.647Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured T. Paul on weighted all-surface win rate: 63.4% versus 48.6% for D. Vallejo. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: T. Paul: 61; D. Vallejo: 11 completed hard matches. Samples below 15 receive reduced surface influence.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 76% of the final strength calculation.
T. Paul: 63% · D. Vallejo: 49%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 24% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
T. Paul: 58% · D. Vallejo: 48%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 24% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
T. Paul: 52% · D. Vallejo: 49%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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