S. Wawrinka vs J. Lehecka
Basel · ATP · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-27
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: J. Lehecka · Confidence 6.4 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: S. Wawrinka 5.00 · J. Lehecka 1.16
Finished · 5-7 6-7(2) · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-25T23:08:04.087Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured J. Lehecka on weighted all-surface win rate: 60.0% versus 39.0% for S. Wawrinka. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
The saved indicators do not capture every influence on a match. The original confidence score is a model assessment, not a guarantee.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 79% of the final strength calculation.
S. Wawrinka: 39% · J. Lehecka: 60%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 20% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
S. Wawrinka: 47% · J. Lehecka: 59%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 21% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
S. Wawrinka: 49% · J. Lehecka: 52%
Complete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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