L. Fernandez vs H. Sakatsume
Tokyo · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-27
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: L. Fernandez · Confidence 6.2 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: L. Fernandez 1.20 · H. Sakatsume 4.50
Finished · 6-2 6-4 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-25T12:59:02.817Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured L. Fernandez on weighted all-surface win rate: 57.8% versus 42.5% for H. Sakatsume. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: L. Fernandez: 111; H. Sakatsume: 13 completed matches. TennisDollar requires 5 and flags samples below 20 as limited.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 84% of the final strength calculation.
L. Fernandez: 58% · H. Sakatsume: 42%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 16% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
L. Fernandez: 62% · H. Sakatsume: 44%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 16% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
L. Fernandez: 51% · H. Sakatsume: 50%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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