M. Frech vs I. Swiatek
Wuhan · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-14
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: I. Swiatek · Confidence 6.7 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: M. Frech 8.00 · I. Swiatek 1.08
Finished · 2-6 1-6 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-12T10:11:16.629Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured I. Swiatek on weighted all-surface win rate: 71.0% versus 44.0% for M. Frech. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 16 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 71% of the final strength calculation.
M. Frech: 44% · I. Swiatek: 71%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 35% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
M. Frech: 50% · I. Swiatek: 70%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 29% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
M. Frech: 50% · I. Swiatek: 55%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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