K. Muchova vs C. McNally
Wuhan · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-14
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: K. Muchova · Confidence 6.3 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: K. Muchova 1.29 · C. McNally 3.77
Finished · 3-6 7-6(1) 7-6(4) · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-12T13:03:02.017Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured K. Muchova on weighted all-surface win rate: 69.6% versus 51.1% for C. McNally. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 6 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 71% of the final strength calculation.
K. Muchova: 70% · C. McNally: 51%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 29% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
K. Muchova: 66% · C. McNally: 48%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 29% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
K. Muchova: 53% · C. McNally: 50%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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