E. Svitolina vs L. Samsonova
Wuhan · WTA · HARD · Originally scheduled 2026-10-14
Prediction and result
Predicted winner: E. Svitolina · Confidence 6.1 / 10
Pre-match decimal odds · 18+: E. Svitolina 1.38 · L. Samsonova 3.16
Finished · 6-2 5-7 6-2 · Prediction correct
Recorded before play: 2026-10-13T09:51:01.733Z. Original odds and prediction values are preserved; missing odds are shown as —.
What supported the original prediction?
The saved pre-match comparison favoured E. Svitolina on weighted all-surface win rate: 66.9% versus 51.0% for L. Samsonova. This was one input to the original prediction, not a win probability.
Recorded limitation: 0 invalid and 8 unverified-surface historical matches were excluded where required.
This summary describes the saved pre-match figures. The final result is not used to generate it.
Saved statistical comparisons
Weighted all-surface win rate
Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 70% of the final strength calculation.
E. Svitolina: 67% · L. Samsonova: 51%
Hard-court weighted win rate
Surface results make up 36% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.
E. Svitolina: 66% · L. Samsonova: 52%
Serve and return performance
Serve and return statistics account for 30% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.
E. Svitolina: 53% · L. Samsonova: 50%
Incomplete Data. Confidence is a model assessment, not a guarantee or calibrated win probability.
Model-generated analysis by TennisDollar. About the service · Methodology and limitations
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