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PRE-MATCH RECORD

Past tennis predictions & results

Search the original TennisDollar analyses and compare them with verified results. Prediction values shown here were recorded before play and are not recalculated using later information. Dates show the original schedule saved with each prediction; rescheduled matches may have been played later. Date filters and sorting use that original scheduled date.

Filtered record: earlier entries without captured pre-match odds were excluded in the 11 October 2026 history update. This is not the complete all-time prediction record.

50 pre-match recordsPage 3 of 3
Originally scheduled 2026-10-12 · Hard · Masters 1000

Z. Bergs vs C. Alcaraz

Shanghai · Draw unverified

Incorrect
Original predictionC. Alcaraz71.2% model
Confidence7.0/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.07
Actual winnerZ. Bergs
Final score7-5 7-6(4)
Incomplete DataATP TD V1Recorded 11/10/2026, 02:30:01 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate51% · 79%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 70% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate49% · 77%

Surface results make up 33% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance51% · 55%

Serve and return statistics account for 30% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-12 · Hard · Masters 1000

D. Medvedev vs D. Svrcina

Shanghai · Draw unverified

Correct
Original predictionD. Medvedev65.7% model
Confidence6.5/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.14
Actual winnerD. Medvedev
Final score6-2 6-3
Incomplete DataATP TD V1Recorded 11/10/2026, 02:28:01 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate67% · 48%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 79% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate69% · 52%

Surface results make up 23% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance53% · 50%

Serve and return statistics account for 21% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-12 · Hard · Masters 1000

P. Carreno-Busta vs F. Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai · Draw unverified

Correct
Original predictionF. Auger-Aliassime65.3% model
Confidence6.4/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.28
Actual winnerF. Auger-Aliassime
Final score3-6 6-4 1-6
Incomplete DataATP TD V1Recorded 11/10/2026, 02:27:01 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate45% · 65%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 74% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate45% · 65%

Surface results make up 25% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance50% · 52%

Serve and return statistics account for 26% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-12 · Hard · WTA 1000

H. Guo vs S. Cirstea

Wuhan · Draw unverified

Incorrect
Original predictionS. Cirstea66.9% model
Confidence6.6/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.14
Actual winnerH. Guo
Final score1-6 7-6(6) 7-5
Limited DataWTA TD V1Recorded 10/10/2026, 12:54:21 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate45% · 64%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 93% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate47% · 58%

Surface results make up 6% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance50% · 53%

Serve and return statistics account for 7% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-12 · Hard · WTA 1000

B. Bencic vs S. Zhang

Wuhan · Draw unverified

Void
Original predictionB. Bencic64.4% model
Confidence6.3/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.20
Actual winnerN/A
Final scoreN/A
Incomplete DataWTA TD V1Recorded 10/10/2026, 12:53:01 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate64% · 44%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 74% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate60% · 46%

Surface results make up 27% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance53% · 49%

Serve and return statistics account for 26% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-10 · Hard · Masters 1000

D. Medvedev vs J-L. Struff

Shanghai · Draw unverified

Correct
Original predictionD. Medvedev66.3% model
Confidence6.5/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.14
Actual winnerD. Medvedev
Final score4-6 6-4 6-3
Incomplete DataATP TD V1Recorded 08/10/2026, 18:18:01 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate67% · 46%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 71% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate68% · 43%

Surface results make up 27% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance53% · 49%

Serve and return statistics account for 29% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-10 · Hard · Masters 1000

J. M. Cerundolo vs C. Alcaraz

Shanghai · Draw unverified

Correct
Original predictionC. Alcaraz72.8% model
Confidence7.1/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.03
Actual winnerC. Alcaraz
Final score3-6 3-6
Incomplete DataATP TD V1Recorded 08/10/2026, 18:17:20 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate48% · 79%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 71% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate47% · 76%

Surface results make up 25% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance49% · 54%

Serve and return statistics account for 29% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-10 · Hard · Masters 1000

T. Paul vs D. Vallejo

Shanghai · Draw unverified

Correct
Original predictionT. Paul60.9% model
Confidence6.0/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.50
Actual winnerT. Paul
Final score6-2 6-2
Incomplete DataATP TD V1Recorded 08/10/2026, 18:13:01 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate63% · 49%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 76% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate58% · 48%

Surface results make up 24% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance52% · 49%

Serve and return statistics account for 24% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-10 · Hard · Masters 1000

C. Ugo Carabelli vs F. Auger-Aliassime

Shanghai · Draw unverified

Correct
Original predictionF. Auger-Aliassime67.4% model
Confidence6.6/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.04
Actual winnerF. Auger-Aliassime
Final score6-4 6-7(1) 5-7
Incomplete DataATP TD V1Recorded 08/10/2026, 18:12:21 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate43% · 64%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 72% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate35% · 64%

Surface results make up 22% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance47% · 52%

Serve and return statistics account for 28% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.

Originally scheduled 2026-10-10 · Hard · Masters 1000

M. Arnaldi vs T. Fritz

Shanghai · Draw unverified

Correct
Original predictionT. Fritz64.6% model
Confidence6.3/10
Pre-match odds · 18+1.25
Actual winnerT. Fritz
Final score5-7 4-6
Incomplete DataATP TD V1Recorded 08/10/2026, 18:12:02 UTC
Original analysis details
Weighted all-surface win rate44% · 63%

Recent results have more weight. Match results account for 73% of the final strength calculation.

Hard-court weighted win rate41% · 62%

Surface results make up 25% of the results calculation. Smaller samples reduce this share.

Serve and return performance49% · 53%

Serve and return statistics account for 27% of the strength calculation. Limited coverage and small samples reduce their influence.

This is the saved pre-match snapshot. Post-match statistics are not used to rewrite it.